Did Iran Miss its Chance?

It appears that Iran, like Russia, just managed to get suckered into “diplomacy” that was never anything more than a means of buying time in order to permit the US military to move its pieces into position for a series of decapitation and incapacitation strikes.

The rapid buildup of U.S. forces in the Middle East has progressed to the point that President Trump has the option to take military action against Iran as soon as this weekend, administration and Pentagon officials said, leaving the White House with high-stakes choices about pursuing diplomacy or war.

Mr. Trump has given no indication that he has made a decision about how to proceed. But the drive to assemble a military force capable of striking Iran’s nuclear program, its ballistic missiles and accompanying launch sites has continued this week despite indirect talks between the two nations on Tuesday, with Iran seeking two weeks to come back with fleshed out proposals for a diplomatic resolution.

Many administration officials have expressed skepticism about the prospects of reaching a diplomatic deal with Tehran. The indirect talks on Tuesday in Geneva ended with what Iran’s foreign minister said was agreement on a “set of guiding principles.” U.S. officials said the two sides made progress but added that big gaps remain.

It’s really rather remarkable that Clown World’s targets keep falling for this sort of thing, and they’ve been doing so since Desert Shield. The only chance Saddam Hussein had was launching his own ground offensive before all of his assets were systematically depreciated by 100,000 sorties flown over 36 days; by the time Desert Storm began his armies weren’t even in any shape to resist.

Russia, of course, has been able to overcome the challenges posed by its engagement with the deceitful Minsk agreements, but it has paid a higher price for its reluctance to accept the inevitable. Even now, it’s still trying to negotiate and bargain while resisting the need to admit that the only way it can end the war is to win it on the ground.

Iran stopped the 12-Day War eight months ago, and as a result, now finds itself facing a much more formidable US expeditionary force, and would probably have been much better off launching its attacks on the US bases in the region rather than waiting for its air defense systems to be attacked and its launch sites destroyed, then trying to hit back with its degraded capabilities.

Of course, we can’t necessarily assume that the Iranians are making the same mistake again. And there are some signs that Iran has been using the additional time to bring in support from Russia and China, to say nothing of arranging for the arrival of the Russian and Chinese ships for their “joint naval exercise”. But the US assumption is that Russia and China are going to stay out of this, and that whatever help they’ve been able to provide will be less significant than the arrangement of the US pieces.

So, I suppose as with most wars, we’ll just have to wait and see who underestimated whom. But the recent history has not tended to favor the side that is reluctant to respond to overt aggression, whether that is out of cowardice, ill-founded optimism, an unwillingness to abandon the status quo, or simple naivete.

DISCUSS ON SG


Prince Andrew Arrested

Of all the Epstein-related arrests we wanted to see, one of the more improbable has just happened:

Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor has been arrested on his 66th birthday today and is in police custody after a raid on his new Sandringham home. Thames Valley Police held the eighth in line to the British throne on suspicion of misconduct in public office this morning. The Daily Mail was the first to reveal plain-clothes police, carried in six unmarked vehicles, had arrived at Wood Farm, Andrew’s new Sandringham home, at 8am this morning.

A convoy including at least two royal Land Rovers linked to Andrew was photographed leaving the estate less than an hour later. His arrest was confirmed at 10.08am.

For the past ten days detectives have been probing his conduct as a trade envoy for the UK after emails in the Epstein Files suggested he shared confidential information with his paedophile friend including reports of his official visits and potential investment opportunities.

Sure, there is plenty of reason to suspect that either the prosecutors will whitewash everything he’ll “commit suicide” in prison and be spirited off somewhere in the Middle East, but it is nevertheless a start.

Now do Hillary Clinton and Bill Gates…

DISCUSS ON SG


Veriphysics: The Treatise 018

Part Three: The Path Toward Truth

I. Introduction: The Possibility of Renewal

The Enlightenment has failed. Its political philosophy produced tyranny wearing the mask of liberation. Its economics produced models that do not describe reality and policies that impoverish the very populations they claimed they would enrich. Its science produced institutions incapable of correcting their own errors and a theory of life that cannot survive basic arithmetic. Its epistemology consumed itself, beginning with the enthronement of reason and ending with its abdication and abandonment.

The classical tradition that preceded the Enlightenment, though superior in substance, failed to defend itself. It spoke to specialists while its opponents spoke to the public. It defended when it should have attacked. It assumed good faith in a rhetorical war. It possessed the tools of logic, mathematics, and empirical inquiry but did not deploy them as weapons. It was outmaneuvered, outspent, and outpublicized by an opponent whose arguments could not have survived serious scrutiny.

There is an intellectual void left by the Enlightenment’s collapse. Human beings cannot live without coherent frameworks for understanding their reality, grounding their morality, informing their decisions, and orienting their actions. The borrowed capital of Christendom and the societal inertia, upon which the Enlightenment drew even as it denied its debts, has been exhausted.

Something will fill the vacuum. The vital question is whether whatever fills it will be true.

This is not a question for passive observers. The void will be filled by whoever seeks to fill it, by those with the will, the resources, and the vision to offer an alternative. If the heirs of the tradition offer nothing, then something else will take its place: a new ideology, a new materialism, a new paganism, a new barbarism, and a new madness. The opportunity is real but it will not wait forever.

What is required is neither a museum restoration of the medieval synthesis nor an accommodation to postmodernity that sacrifices substance for elite approval. What is needed is a genuine philosophical renewal, the construction of an intellectual framework that recovers what is true in the tradition, incorporates what has been genuinely learned in the intervening centuries, and provides the tools necessary to distinguish truth from falsehood with greater force and rigor.

That framework is Veriphysics.

DISCUSS ON SG

NB: You can now buy the complete Veriphysics: The Treatise at Amazon in both Kindle and audiobook formats if you’d like to read ahead or have it available as a reference. Thanks to many of the readers here, it is presently a #1 bestseller in both Epistemology and Metaphysics.


Feature, Not Bug

A young woman is taking legal action against her high school, alleging she was awarded honors at graduation even though she’s illiterate. – Thomas Sowell

The problem is that a class action lawsuit of this kind that encompassed even a small fraction of those for whom this is true would create sufficient liability to end public schooling in America.

Yeah, so, that’s not at all a problem.

DISCUSS ON SG


Veriphysics, as requested

The Enlightenment promised to replace superstition with reason, tyranny with liberty, and ignorance with progress. Three centuries later, the results are in.

Democratic governments no longer represent their citizens. Economic models that predicted shared prosperity have delivered stagnation and debt. The scientific establishment cannot correct its own errors. The very philosophers who enthroned reason ended by abandoning it entirely. What we are witnessing is not the corruption of a good idea by bad actors. It is the inevitable collapse of a framework that was flawed from its foundations.

Veriphysics: The Treatise is a systematic diagnosis of that collapse and a rigorous description of what must replace it.

In three parts, Vox Day examines how the Enlightenment’s five core premises — autonomous reason, sovereign individualism, mechanical nature, the fact-value distinction, and inevitable progress — have each been falsified by the experience of history and by the findings of the sciences the Enlightenment itself celebrated. He then reconstructs the intellectual history of how a superior philosophical tradition, the classical and Christian inheritance, was outmaneuvered not by better arguments but by superior rhetoric, institutional capture, and the patient infiltration of universities, academies, and publishing houses over generations.

The final and constructive section introduces Veriphysics as a genuine philosophical successor: a framework built on Aletheian Realism, grounded in the Christian metaphysical tradition, and equipped with a concrete epistemological tool identified as the Triveritas. Any claim that cannot satisfy all three of its conditions — logical validity, mathematical coherence, and empirical anchoring — does not merit assent, regardless of the credentials of those asserting it. Applied to the crown jewels of Enlightenment thought, including the cogito, Darwinian evolution, classical economics, and social contract theory, the Triveritas serves as a wrecking ball. The math doesn’t work. The logic doesn’t hold. The evidence, honestly examined, refutes rather than confirms.

This is not for those who want their current assumptions confirmed. It is for those who have become aware that something is deeply wrong with the intellectual world they inherited, and who are willing to follow the path toward truth wherever it leads.

Authored by bestselling political philosopher Vox Day, also the author of the landmark science work Probability ZeroVeriphysics: The Treatise is a philosophical manifesto for the 21st century. Available on Amazon, Kindle Unlimited, and Audible.


I released this 84-page treatise more so that people could have an easy single reference than as a book proper; it consists of the first two parts, the final section of the latter which was posted today, plus the third part, which I will continue to post here daily until it is complete. Although it naturally comes off as highly critical of the Enlightenment, and, to a lesser extent, their Scholastic rivals, it represents my attempt to transition from the purely critical role to constructing something useful.

I leave it to the readers to decide how effective it is as a post-Enlightenment proto-philosophy, but there are already some signs that the triveritan approach it utilizes is a fundamentally more viable and reliable heuristic than historical truth-metrics.

DISCUSS ON SG


Extended Air War on Iran

It increasingly appears that the tail is in firm control of the dog, and that Netanyahu is going to get his Round 2 with Iran for which he has been working to enlist the US military.

A large wave of American airpower is heading toward the Middle East to bolster forces already there as U.S. President Donald Trump considers an attack against Iran. Online flight trackers are showing F-22 Raptors, F-16 Fighting Falcons, E-3 Sentry radar planes and a U-2 Dragon Lady spy plane either in transit across the Atlantic or newly arrived in Europe. In addition, a seventh Arleigh Burke class guided missile destroyer, the USS Pinckney, has recently deployed to the U.S. Central Command Area of Responsibility (AOR) as well, a U.S. Navy official told us.

While we don’t know whether Trump will decide to attack Iran, these are exactly the movements we’ve been expecting, but so far not seeing, in advance of a sustained operation, both defensive and offensive. The U.S. aircraft heading east represents the most intense phase of a force plus-up that began after Trump started threatening Iran over its harsh treatment of anti-regime protesters. Taken together, the force now assembling in the Middle East, combined with the Israel Air Force’s capabilities, including hundreds of fighter aircraft, as well as USAF ‘global airpower’ bomber flights, would be enough for a major operation that could last weeks not days. We will likely see additional assets deploy in the coming days.

A demonstration of unprecedented military might or the US Sicilian Expedition? I tend to assume the latter, as does Col. Douglas Macgregor. But the Russian and Chinese navies would appear to be a deterrent, only it’s very hard to deter irrational minds without the actual use of force.

And contra what the Christian Zionists are saying, if Israel fails, that doesn’t mean Jesus isn’t real. It means that Christian Zionism is false and has always been a satanic charade. The mere fact that they would even express such a thought tends to indicate the source of the concept.

DISCUSS ON SG


The Ending of All Endings

In Rivendell, the ground shook.

It was not a great sensation. It was merely a tremor, a shudder, the sort of thing that might have been mistaken for a cart passing on a nearby road. But the water in the fountains rippled, and the leaves of the ancient trees trembled without wind, and the light, the clear, golden light that always lay upon the valley of Imladris, suddenly dimmed, as if a cloud had passed before the sun. But there was no cloud. The sky above Rivendell was clear.

Gandalf felt it first. He was standing on the terrace where Gwaihir had departed that morning, his pipe unlit in his hand, and he had been watching the southeastern sky with an expression of quiet confidence that had been slowly, imperceptibly curdling into something else, something he had not felt in a very long time, something he had almost forgotten the shape of.

Fear.

The tremor passed through the stone beneath his feet, and the doubt became certainty, and the certainty was the worst thing he had ever felt.

Elrond emerged from the house. He did not run because Elf lords do not run, but he moved quickly with the controlled pace of someone who has received terrible news and is walking toward the place where he knows it will be confirmed. He came to stand beside Gandalf on the terrace, and for a long moment neither of them spoke. They looked to the east, toward the shadow on the horizon that was, even now, visibly darker than it had been an hour ago. It was visibly expanding to the north and to the west.

“The shadow grows,” said Elrond.

“Yes,” said Gandalf.

“Then—”

“Indeed.”

Elrond closed his eyes. When he opened them, they held something that Gandalf had never seen in them before, not in six thousand years of their acquaintance, not in the fall of Gil-galad, not in the ruin of Eregion, not even in the moment on the slopes of Orodruin when Isildur had taken the Ring and walked away to his doom. It was not despair, exactly. Elrond was far too old for despair, which is a youthful emotion that requires the ability to believe that things ought to be other than they are. It was something deeper, quieter, and more final.

“The Windlord has fallen,” said Elrond. It was not a question.

Gandalf said nothing. His hand, resting on the stone rail of the terrace, was trembling.

Behind them, in the garden, Frodo Baggins looked up from his book. He did not know what had happened. He did not yet understand the darkness that was gathering on the edge of the world, or the silence that had fallen over Rivendell as if the land itself was holding its breath. But he felt it. He felt the ground shiver, felt the light change, felt something vast and irreversible shift in the deep foundations of the world. The book slid from his hands, and he sat very still, and he was afraid.

On the terrace, Gandalf and Elrond stood side by side and watched the shadow rise in the east, and neither of them spoke, because there was nothing left to say.

The ring had been reclaimed.

The One Ring had returned to its maker.

The darkness was rising.

And soon the dark lord would rule over all Middle Earth.

THE END


And that, my friends, is why JRR Tolkien didn’t simply have the eagles fly the ring to Mordor.

QEFD

DISCUSS ON SG


Veriphysics: The Treatise 017

VIII. The Shape of Renewal

The path forward is not a return to pure dialectic, as though the lessons of the Enlightenment’s victory over the last three centuries could simply be unlearned. Nor is it an embrace of pure rhetoric, which would make a neoclassical tradition no better and no more viable than its opponents. It is the synthesis that the Enlightenment pretended to offer but never delivered, the combination of genuine logical rigor, with genuine mathematical abstraction connected to genuine empirical grounding, all deployed with rhetorical effectiveness, that is the optimal philosophical path.

This requires several things.

First, it requires calling all the bluffs. Every Enlightenment claim that invokes reason, mathematics, or evidence must be challenged to produce the reasoning, the equations, and the evidence. These challenges must be pressed relentlessly, and publicly, until the bankruptcy is fully exposed. The tradition has been too polite and too willing to assume good faith on the part of opponents who relentlessly operate in bad faith. That philosophical courtesy must end.

Second, it requires actually doing the intellectual labor. It is not enough to assert that the tradition has logic, mathematics, and evidence on its side. The logic must be articulated clearly. The mathematics must be calculated accurately and presented accessibly. The evidence must be gathered and displayed. The tradition must mint real philosophical currency and spend it lavishly.

Third, it requires addressing the public. The specialized vocabulary that served the tradition well in the seminar room is a liability in the public square. The arguments must be translated, popularized, and even dumbed down where necessary in order to make them accessible to the laymen who lacks specialist training. Clarity is not the enemy of rigor; it is its completion.

Fourth, it requires going on offense. The tradition has played defense long enough. The Enlightenment’s premises are vulnerable, and are even more vulnerable than they have ever been now that their evil consequences are manifest. Those premises must be attacked: the autonomous reason that cannot ground itself, the social contract that no one signed, the invisible hand that does not exist, the progress that has not occurred. The tradition must set the agenda rather than respond to it.

Fifth, it requires building institutions. The Enlightenment understood that ideas require infrastructure. The new philosophical tradition must understand this too. Alternative platforms, alternative credentials, alternative networks of patronage and publication must be created, funded, policed, and sustained. A long game is not only in order, it is necessary.

Now, these actions are not strictly necessary. The Enlightenment is dying of its own contradictions. The tradition that it displaced remains true. The tools that the Enlightenment falsely claimed, logic, mathematics, and empirical evidence, are readily available to those willing to use them honestly. The rhetorical landscape has gradually shifted in ways that favor truth over propaganda, and rhetoric supported by dialectic over pure, groundless rhetoric.

What is needed is a philosophical framework that unites these elements: the perennial insights of the tradition, the rigorous methods it always possessed, the empirical data now available, and the rhetorical effectiveness necessary to make truth prevail. Such a framework would not be a revival of Scholasticism, nor a capitulation to Enlightenment terms, but something truly new, a genuine advancing of the historical classical tradition that is capable of meeting the various intellectual needs of the present.


Since a number of people have asked me to make these posts available in ebook form, I have done so. Please note that this is not the complete work, it is only the 20,000-word treatise that contains the first two parts that have previously appeared here on the blog, as well as the third part, entitled The Path Toward Truth. I do not know when the complete work will be done and I do not have any target date for doing so.

DISCUSS ON SG


The Great Shadow Falls

It came from behind the peak — from the far side of Orodruin, where the mountain’s bulk had hidden it from view — and it rose into the sky above the crater with a slowness that was worse than speed, because speed would have implied effort, and this creature moved as if effort were a concept that applied to lesser things.

Felgarion. Son of Ancalagon the Black.

The dragon was enormous. Not the size of Smaug, who had been large enough to blanket a town in flame, but larger, far larger, a creature from the Elder Days when the world was younger and made things of a scale it could no longer sustain. His wingspan blocked out the sky above the mountain. His scales were green, not the dark green of the elvenwoods but the deep, liquid green of emeralds, and they caught the red light of the fires below and threw it back in dark, bloody reflections. His eyes were gold and slitted and ancient and utterly without mercy. His jaws, when they opened, revealed a throat that glowed like the inside of a forge.

And on his back, between the great ridged spines that ran from skull to tail, sat Sauron.

The Dark Lord had changed. He was no longer a quiet figure in a silk robe, the chess player, the sketcher of sleeping beauty. He wore armor of black steel, chased with lines of red-gold that pulsed with the same rhythm as the mountain beneath him, and on his head sat a crown of iron, and in his hand he carried nothing at all. He wielded neither sword nor spear, because when one rides a dragon, one does not require weapons. He was terrible and beautiful in the way that a fire is beautiful when it engulfs a forest, and his eyes, visible even at this distance, burned with the same lidless intensity as the Eye atop his tower.

The dragon and his rider crested the peak of Orodruin and hung there for a moment, motionless, silhouetted against the column of smoke and ash, and the image was one that would haunt the nightmares of every creature that saw it for as long as they lived, which in some cases would not be very long at all.

Landroval saw it first. The great eagle turned and threw himself without hesitation at the dragon, not because he believed he could harm it, but because Gwaihir was below and still diving for the crack and someone had to buy him time. It was the bravest thing Landroval had ever done. It was also the last thing Landroval ever did.

Felgarion opened his mouth. The fire that came was not the fire of Smaug. It was not the hot, orange, flaming fire of a lesser wyrm. It was the fire of Ancalagon’s line, white at its core, blue at its edges, a fire that had once melted the towers of the Valar’s own fortifications in the War of Wrath. It struck Landroval in midair.

The great eagle was instantly transformed into a torch. His feathers, his flesh, the very structure of his bones — all of it caught and burned with an intensity that turned the eagle from a living creature into a shape of pure flame in the space of a single heartbeat. He did not scream. The fire was burned too fast for screams. He burned, and he fell, and the wind of his falling trailed a long ribbon of white fire down the mountainside like a comet striking the earth, and then he was gone.

Gwaihir did not look back. He could not afford to look back. The entrance to the Sammath Naur was fifty yards ahead, close enough to see the ancient stone of its lintel, close enough to feel the blast of heat from within, and he drove himself toward it with every ounce of strength his fatigued wings could summon.

He did not reach it.

Felgarion descended upon him like a green star falling. The dragon came straight down, folding his wings and dropping with a speed that belied his enormous size, and his claws — each one as long as a ship’s mast, black as volcanic glass and sharp beyond the craft of any smith — closed around Gwaihir’s body from above. The eagle thrashed. His wings beat against the dragon’s grip, his talons raked at the emerald scales, but Felgarion’s claws held him with the casual, immovable strength of the earth itself.

The dragon’s head descended.

His jaws opened, and the teeth — row upon row, black and translucent and curved like scimitars — closed around Gwaihir’s neck. There was a sound. It was a sound that should not be described, because some things are too terrible for language and this was one of them. The Windlord’s headless body went limp in the dragon’s claws.

Felgarion landed on the slopes of Orodruin with a concussion that shook the mountain to its roots. His claws released the broken body of the eagle, and it slid down the black rock and lay still, the great wings splayed and bent, the golden plumage darkened with dirt and ash, the oozing red blood in stark contrast with the exposed white bone of his severed spine.

Sauron dismounted.

He walked to the body of Gwaihir the Windlord, and he knelt beside the left talon, and he unbuckled the pale leather pouch with his nine remaining fingers. The Elven craftsmanship was exquisite. Even in the moment of his triumph, he noted this with the detached appreciation of a fellow artisan.

He opened the pouch, and drew out the Ring.

It was warm. It was always warm. But now, here, on the slopes of the mountain where it had been made, it was more than warm, it was alive, singing in a frequency that resonated with the fire beneath the stone, with the will of its maker, with the vast and ancient design that had begun in the forges of Eregion and was, in this moment, finally and irrevocably complete.

Sauron stood. He raised his fist, his right hand, the one with the missing finger and held the Ring aloft against the burning sky. The mountain roared beneath him. The clouds above Mordor, the great pall of shadow that had hung over the land for years, began to spread across the sky, rolling rapidly outward in all directions like a dark tide unleashed. The Great Eye atop Barad-dûr blazed with an exultant light that could be seen from the Shire to the Sea of Rhûn.

Behind him, Felgarion raised his head and roared, a sound that shook the very foundations of the Ephel Dúath and sent avalanches cascading down every peak in the range, and the Witch-king, circling above on his fell beast, bowed his hooded head.

On the slopes of Mount Doom, in the shadow of his dragon, with the blood of the Windlord at his feet and the One Ring burning in his fist, the Dark Lord of Mordor exulted in his victory.

DISCUSS ON SG


DOJ Defends Clown World

Pam Bondi and the corrupt DOJ are still lying through their teeth about having released all of the information in the Epstein Files. I’ve heard that the additional 3 million documents are still less than 10 percent of the total:

MAGA broadcaster Alex Jones expressed frustration after insisting that Attorney General Pam Bondi’s Department of Justice was wrong to claim that it had released all documents required by the Epstein Files Transparency Act.

“Now it’s the big, massive top story, Saturday and Sunday, that people reading these files think maybe that’s the case,” Jones explained on his Monday show. “Again, you heard Bondi, oh, there’s hundreds of victims with Epstein and, oh, these powerful people are going to go to jail. Then she’s like, oh, actually, I was wrong.”

“So when you go into these files in the public, you see stuff blacked out, that’s the reason. So you’re like, God, that’s satanic. Yeah, folks, they have satanic training by increment to find out who is satanic to build a satanic army,” he continued.

Just two days ago, Jones was telling everyone that an apoplectic Trump was threatening to fire everyone; apparently their argument against releasing the files in full is due to how many institutional figures from the colleges and corporations to the state and federal levels would be taking a fall and that this would destroy the stock market. And supposedly, Trump had finally figured out that the stock market is going to crash anyhow, so the threat was a hollow one.

Of course, this scenario doesn’t account for the probability that the short fake Trump serves the same masters as his corrupt Department of Injustice and Other Iniquities.

Americans don’t care about the stock market or the economy. What they very much want to see every single blood-drinking satanic pedophile exposed and punished for their dreadful crimes in a timely manner. If that crashes the economy, the corporations, and the banks, well, that’s a price that the American Posterity is more than willing to pay.

Because if the system can’t prevent those crimes, the system isn’t worth preserving. And Clown World is going to collapse no matter how they try to rationalize it or preserve it.

Satanic Witch Marina Abramovic says she can no longer walk down the streets.

Hmmm… I seem to recall someone predicting that a few years ago…

UPDATE: Apparently what has been released to date is about 2 percent of the total. Also, it’s now firmly established that Bannon is one of the Epsteinists.

When Steve Bannon worked for Trump in his first term, every single thing that was inside knowledge, every secret, he ran straight to Jeffrey Epstein, the world’s most famous pedophile and child trafficker in history, and told him everything.

DISCUSS ON SG